Advan Research
Login icon LOGIN
Thomas Paulson

Thomas Paulson

Thomas has been Head of Market Insights for Advan Research  since January 2025. Previously, he served as Director of Research and Business Development at Placer.ai, where he was instrumental in providing actionable insights derived from location analytics and the path for expansion into new verticals. His extensive background also includes two decades as a Wall Street analyst and portfolio manager in asset management at AllianceBernstein, Cornerstone, and others.
Comcast’s Q4: Universal’s trend strengthened QoQ, so did Disney’s

Comcast’s Q4: Universal’s trend strengthened QoQ, so did Disney’s

Comcast’s Q4 results showed strong gains at its domestic parks. Advan estimates that Orlando was up at the legacy parks and that the new Epic Universe was up QoQ in attendance (despite what is a slower season period). Universal’s Halloween event was particularly successful, both CA and FL. The success at Universal was not a detriment to Disney’s attendance and Advan estimates that Disney’s attendance also strengthened from Q3’s pace.
3 minutes
Apple’s Big Bite Out Of The US Wireless Industry: CQ4’s blow-out results expected to continue for 2026

Apple’s Big Bite Out Of The US Wireless Industry: CQ4’s blow-out results expected to continue for 2026

Apple won the Holiday in consumer electronics due to compelling new products (largely the iPhone) and a highly competitive US wireless industry. The industry’s strong offers on handsets to subscribers (subsidies), is putting more money into Apple’s coffer. Given the high spend on Apple’s products this holiday season and the vast number of retail brands that sell the iPhone, that crowded out consumer spending in consumer electronics and at Best Buy.
5 minutes
Starbucks FQ1 (SBUX): Return to Growth

Starbucks FQ1 (SBUX): Return to Growth

Starbucks reported much improved comp-growth for its Dec. quarter, including in the US. The improvement stems from the turnaround initiatives devised by CEO Brian Niccol (now five quarters in the role.) Advan data closely matches management’s proof points on the turnaround. The introduced annual guidance indicates that management expects the momentum to build. Niccol’s plan is working, including the reinvestment in store standards, service levels, and brand. Better profit levels are to come in the 2H.
4 minutes
Brinker’s Strong Quarter (EAT): Driven by Chili’s (again), they comp-ed the comp

Brinker’s Strong Quarter (EAT): Driven by Chili’s (again), they comp-ed the comp

Chili’s comped- the comp and sales are now 62% higher than four years ago. Current QTD comp traffic is running above guidance (per Advan). Chili’s continues to win the “moment of truth” in where consumers choose to dine due to its brand standing for greater value (bang-for-your-buck); Chili’s intends to reinforce that perception and will underprice inflation and competitors in 2026; most will be forced to raise menu prices to offset beef cost inflation.
4 minutes
Aritzia’s Spectacular Holiday: Catching / Monitoring a Hot Brand

Aritzia’s Spectacular Holiday: Catching / Monitoring a Hot Brand

Aritzia reported very strong sales growth for its fiscal Q3, +54% for the US region, and while management guided for a slower rate for FQ4, Advan’s transaction data points to ongoing strength (+50%) suggested a lot of conservatism in that guide. Aritzia is driving strong growth in both established regions (New York, Chicago, and Los Angeles) through strong digital sales and store-level comp-sales increases, and new markets, ahead of having a physical store in them.
3 minutes
Albertsons Companies’ Quarter (ACI): Controlling the controllable and driving traffic growth

Albertsons Companies’ Quarter (ACI): Controlling the controllable and driving traffic growth

In a difficult industry backdrop, Albertsons Co. is driving stronger traffic and less-bad unit trends by amplifying its loyalty offers and passing less cost inflation on to its shoppers; both of which eat into margin. Management doesn’t expect the environment to improve anytime soon, and so, they are doing what they can control – reorganizing, restructuring work streams, and cutting costs to pay for the greater value presented to shoppers, while also contemporizing their services – expanded and fast store delivery (more than half of the quarters digital orders were delivered in 3 hours or less), AI shopping agents, etc.
4 minutes
Chipotle’s Protein Cup: Nice, but didn’t offset the macro

Chipotle’s Protein Cup: Nice, but didn’t offset the macro

Chipotle introduced new low-price-point menu items on December 23rd, such as the High Protein Cup of Adobo Chicken at $3.82 and a Single Chicken Taco at $3.50. The aim, in our view, is to address affordability perceptions and put something of substance on the menu for lighter eaters. Traffic built leading into the launch; however, one week later, the enthusiasm waned. Moreover, the stronger period was matched by Taco Bell, which also enjoyed a favorable spurt.
One minute
Holiday season-to-date foot traffic and spend: Charging harder into the end of the season

Holiday season-to-date foot traffic and spend: Charging harder into the end of the season

Amazon, Walmart, Five Below, and Ross Dress for Less have continued to outperform in traffic and spend. Most brands have shown a stronger trend than last week, especially Kohl’s and Ross. Store spend has been less vibrant than traffic due to more shopping around for deals, i.e. some average ticket pressure, and online wallet taking share. Last week, we wrote that we expected the pace of holiday foot traffic to accelerate going into Christmas day, and as shown below, that has happened; however, Advan’s transaction data shows that store spending has not, save department stores and off-price.
2 minutes