Notable Hit 1: On Thursday May 22, 2025 Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) posted revenues of $4.98BN surpassing the analysts estimates by 0.8% and in the same direction of Advan’s implied sales (0.4%). Advan’s data showed a 0.9% increase YoY in overall foot traffic across all Ross Stores locations in Q1 2025; the company’s revenue increased 2.5% YoY. Advan’s foot traffic data has a correlation of 0.97 on a YoY basis with ROST’s top-line revenue over the last 17 quarters.

Notable Hit 1: On Thursday March 20, 2025 Darden Restaurants, Inc. (DRI) posted revenues of $3.15BN missing the analysts estimates by 1.5% and in the same direction of Advan’s implied sales. Advan’s data showed a 1% increase YoY in overall foot traffic across all Darden’s chains, including Oliver Garden and Longhorn locations in FQ4 2024; the company’s revenue increased 5.9% YoY. The stock closed +5.8% from previous close. Advan’s footfall data has a correlation of 0.

Notable Hit 1: On Wednesday February 26, 2025 The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) posted revenues of $16.35BN surpassing the analysts estimates by 1% and in the same direction of Advan’s implied sales. Advan’s data showed a 5.3% increase YoY in foot traffic to the retailer’s stores (subsidiaries such as Marhsalls, HomeGoods also included) in Q4 2024; the company’s revenue was slightly down (-0.4%) YoY. The stock moved higher during the trading session.

Notable Hit 1: On Thursday February 20, 2025 Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) posted revenues of $328.7 mm surpassing the analysts estimates by 1% and in the same direction of Advan’s implied sales. Advan’s data showed a 10.5% increase YoY in foot traffic to its restaurants in Q4 2024; the company’s revenue increased 14.8% YoY. The stock opened 14% up from previous close. Advan’s footfall data has a correlation of 0.96 on a YoY basis with SHAK’s top-line revenue over the last 19 quarters.

Notable Hit 1: (RRR:NASDAQ) On Tuesday February 11, 2025 Red Rock Resorts, Inc. (RRR) posted revenues of $495.7 mm surpassing the analysts estimates by 0.82% and closer to Advan’s implied sales of 492.5 mm (-0.61%). Advan’s data showed a 10.1% increase YoY in foot traffic to its resorts in Q4 2024; the company’s revenue increased 7.1% YoY. As a result of beating revenue and earnings as well as the declaration of quarterly dividends, the company’s stock next day opened 4.

Snack & Beverages Under Pressure As Consumer Cuts Visits Into The C-Store Given the deterioration in traffic and conversion at C&G stores since October, as shown in the chart above, it wasn’t a surprise to see weak results and guidance by PepsiCo this week. CEO Laguarta in the press release was quoted as saying, “Looking ahead to 2025, we will [be] taking actions to improve performance in North America. Our multiyear productivity initiatives will help fund disciplined commercial investments and aid our profitability.

Notable Hit 1: (EAT:NYSE) On Wednesday January 29, 2025 Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) posted revenues of $1.36 bn surpassing the analysts estimates by 14% and in the same direction as Advan’s forecasted sales. Advan’s data showed a 23.8% increase YoY in foot traffic to its restaurant chains in Q4 2024. Visits to Chili’s were up 25.5% YoY; the company’s revenue increased 26.5% YoY. The stock closed up 16% from previous close.

The casual dining scene in the U.S. has been a rollercoaster over the past two years, with some brands struggling to keep pace while others have found ways to thrive. Chili’s, Texas Roadhouse, and The Cheesecake Factory have all experienced their ups and downs, but Chili’s recent turnaround stands out the most. At the start of 2023, things weren’t looking great for Chili’s. Foot traffic according to Advan’s intelligence was down, with year-over-year restaurant visits slipping into negative territory for much of the year.

Vail Resorts, a leader in the ski industry, has long been defined by its aggressive expansion strategy and the introduction of the Epic Pass, which revolutionized how skiers access multiple destinations. However, recent challenges, including labor disputes, operational issues, and competition from alternative passes suggest that the company’s dominant position is facing mounting pressure. A recent Wall Street Journal report highlights that Vail Resorts saw a decline in Epic Pass sales for the first time, marking a shift that could have long-term implications.