The Fed’s latest Beige Book  was released last week; the Atlanta district’s comments read, “Travel and tourism activity grew modestly, on balance, since the previous report [early June]… Group bookings for some properties did not meet expectations as international travel to the U.S. from Canada, Asia, and Europe, continued to slow. Demand for cruises rebounded from lows earlier this year.” These observations align with our story  that Universal’s new Epic Universe theme park hasn’t yet lifted the Orlando Market. We’ve updated the figures and produced the chart below. As shown, the theme park activity for the 2025 summer season is just now rising above the 2024 level; we’d expect international to add slightly to the growth. Supporting that more positive turn is improved activity at the Orlando airport, as shown in the second chart below.

Another call-out was San Francisco’s “Several contacts in tourism and hospitality noted a broad-based slowing of activity in the District, including the Las Vegas area, which** had been **expected to remain more robust through this summer.” We see the same for the Harry Reid Airport with activity inflecting negatively in early June. The latest “official statistics” for the market is for May, with LVS handled  passengers down -3.9% YoY (-3.7% domestic / -8.7% international), Vegas area  visitor volume down -6.5%, and Las Vegas Strip gross gaming revenue down -3.9% per The Las Vegas Convention and Visitors Authority. Based on the negative inflection in traffic for June and July at LAS, we expect all these official stats to be down from May’s level.