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T-Mobile’s Q4 Result:  Increased Competitive Intensity Narrowing TMUS’ Outperformance

T-Mobile’s Q4 Result: Increased Competitive Intensity Narrowing TMUS’ Outperformance

The wireless / cable industry’s competitive fervor is intensifying, for which the i-Phone 17’s high consumer appeal has been an agent; Apple is a large beneficiary of that fervor. The intensity has risen because: (1) increasing overall wireline-to-wireless convergence (lots of new fiber being laid down and traditional cable’s contraction is worsening), and (2) Verizon has a new CEO (or sheriff) that’s gunning for market share of net-adds. Observed visitation (Advan) market share trends have aligned with T-Mobile’s trends in postpaid phone net adds.
3 minutes
O’Reilly Automotive: A Smooth-Running Machine and Driving Up the East Coast

O’Reilly Automotive: A Smooth-Running Machine and Driving Up the East Coast

O’Reilly Auto reported sales trends largely consistent with Q3 trends. Its market share capture in Commercial was again very strong. The DIY side of the business is still soft, reflecting that consumer. That said, vehicles need to be repaired when they break down, and so the volume decline in DIY is reasonably benign. Competition appears rational, given O’Reilly’s strong gross margin performance and despite O’Reilly moving into new East Coast markets; they win durable market share by out-serving the competition.
5 minutes
Amazon's Q4: If you build it, will they come? Maybe if you deliver it

Amazon’s Q4: If you build it, will they come? Maybe if you deliver it

Amazon’s in-line results were marked by management signaling that the company was entering another large multi-faceted investment cycle and that the P&L efficiencies that the retail business has enjoyed over the past two years has come to a close. Amazon’s grocery business gained meaningful market share in 2025. Share gains will continue in 2026 and Amazon expects to open 100 new Whole Foods locations in the coming years. This added competitive intensity will further pressure conventional grocers and survival will be dependent on the incumbents delivering exceptional store locations, standards, and service levels, and differentiated on-target merchandise assortments.
6 minutes
Results from Tapestry and Ralph Lauren: The Booming American Luxury Renaissance

Results from Tapestry and Ralph Lauren: The Booming American Luxury Renaissance

Coach (Tapestry) and Ralph Lauren had a very successful holiday quarter in both sales and profit growth. Their ongoing success stems from elevating their brand and using the proceeds to increase top-of-the-funnel marketing and presence in key influential (cer) cities such as Miami, Los Angeles, and New York. It’s a playbook that European luxury brands are also employing. As such, for the right trade areas, demand for real estate is hot and will remain so.
6 minutes
Chipotle’s Sales Deterioration – Increased GLP-1 adoption to blame? Seems so

Chipotle’s Sales Deterioration – Increased GLP-1 adoption to blame? Seems so

· Chipotle once again reported soft comp-store sales and guided for more of that in 2026. · While consumer aversion to Chipotle’s higher menu prices may be one factor for the deterioration in sales growth, Advan’s data and Chipotle’s actions (in terms of menu innovation) suggest that the rapid update of GLP-1 drugs by more affluent households (which Chipotle’s out-indexes in) looks to be the larger driver, i.e. changing consumer needs in how much and what they want to eat.
3 minutes
Previewing January Retail Sales (and FQ4 Results): Walmart, Target, Ross, Dick’s, and US Luxury all stronger

Previewing January Retail Sales (and FQ4 Results): Walmart, Target, Ross, Dick’s, and US Luxury all stronger

January retail sales should be strong when they are reported. Broadly speaking, the retailers that were strong in FQ3 and for the holidays, continued to do well in January. Target is an exception with stronger observed results for FQ4 vs. FQ3, by contrast, Best Buy is worse. Within the context that January is a light month for retail, and often a payback period following ebullient holiday periods (see our review here ), we often make light of the month.
3 minutes
Disney’s Domestic Parks Strong Finish to 2025 Strong attractions, storytelling, and the right consumer

Disney’s Domestic Parks Strong Finish to 2025 Strong attractions, storytelling, and the right consumer

Disney reported stronger domestic park results for the December quarter, despite Universal also reporting stronger results in Orlando. Attendance for Disney increased +1%, along with growth in average admission price, per-cap spending, and hotel occupancy, led by Orlando and despite a material decline in international visitation to Disney World and Disneyland. Given the large size of Disney World and Universal Orlando, that both simultaneously grew rate and attendance demonstrates that the new Epic Universe park grew the overall Orlando market.
3 minutes