Location Data Shows Big Spike in Overnight Hospital Stays in Southern, Western States

July 9, 2020 By Florencia Panizza Tags: Healthcare, COVID-19

With COVID cases rising again in Southern and Western states, the Washington Post reported that many hospitals are under renewed strain, with beds being filled to capacity.

In order to measure the true number of hospital admissions, we have developed an algorithm that can track overnight stays for any period of time (by excluding staff and visitors).

The chart below reflects the critical situation that hospitals are facing in light of rising case numbers. In June, South Carolina hospitals saw a 64% increase in admissions of between 3-7 days compared to last year. In Arizona the increase was 38%.

Hospitalizations in 6 States

Looking more closely at the near-term data, the following chart shows the percentage change in overnight stays of longer than 3 days since the second week of March.

All five states that we analyzed are showing a clear increase in admissions, with Mississippi up 80% in mid-June, compared to March, and South Carolina up 58%

Hospital Admissions - Hospitalized More Than 3 Days

The overnight stay data is key, because it filters out outpatient visits and other intra-day traffic, offering a truer measure of the strain that hospitals are experiencing in states where COVID cases are growing.

When we looked at total foot traffic for hospitals in the same states, the trend was reversed. With fewer elective procedures and widespread restriction on the number of visitors in hospitals, overall foot traffic was down year-over-year in every state. This further reinforces the dramatic increase in hospitalizations over the past month, since the majority of these admissions are likely to be COVID-related and not due to other procedures.

Foot Traffic in Hospitals

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About Advan

Advan is the leader in the financial and real estate industries, enabling participants to analyze foot traffic data across multiple sectors, including retail, hospitality, consumer services, energy, technology, healthcare, REITS, financials and others. Advan derives its datasets using multi parameter models that analyze cellphone location data crossed with curated geofenced areas.

Top tier institutional investors spanning from quantitative hedge funds to fundamental asset managers have been the main consumers of Advan’s products.