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Will CostCo benefit from stockpiling?

March 9, 2020 By Yiannis Tsiounis Tags: retail, COVID-19
Advan: average CostCo daily traffic

Recent news reports have highlighted an increase in foot traffic for CostCo as the spread of the coronavirus spurs people to stock up on essentials. Some analysis has put the number of visitors to CotsCo stores in the US up 72% year-over-year.

At Advan, we ran a detailed analysis of true foot...

Coronavirus impact on US and international airport traffic

March 3, 2020 By Valantis Aristeidous Tags: Travel, COVID-19
Advan: pct change in airport average daily traffic from January to February 2017 - 2020

Has travel been affected by the coronavirus, and if so by how much and where? The overall volume of passengers traveling by air affects many of disparate industries - not just airlines but travel sites and aggregators that sell tickets, hotels and car rental companies that rely on airports for a...

Forecasting Shake Shack performance

March 2, 2020 By Valantis Aristeidous Tags: hospitality
Advan Shake Schack comp store traffic

Each company trades based on different metrics, but it is fair to say that most consumer discretionary companies, especially those with a growing footprint, are judged by their comparable store sales. This is defined differently by each company, as it is not a standardized GAAP metric, but it...

Simon is buying Taubman. How to quantify the synergies?

February 11, 2020 By Valantis Aristeidous Tags: MALLS, REAL ESTATE
Advan Simon and Taubman traffic January 2020

Usually the first considerations when a company acquires another is how to realize economies of scale, cross-marketing opportunities, and areas of common improvement. If one knew which shoppers visit each location and quantified the cross-visits between malls then they could make educated decisions...

Monitoring the coronavirus effects

Advan Macau and HK casino traffic 2020

Markets have reacted very strongly to the potential effects from the coronavirus epidemic in China. MGM, Las Vegas Sands and Wynn Resort stocks have been hit particularly hard, dropping 20% since the news, mostly on fears that their Hong Kong and Macau locations will see materially reduced...

Black Friday is Holding Strong, but not everyone benefits equally

December 3, 2019 By Yiannis Tsiounis Tags: hospitality, MALLS
Advan Black Friday Sector Analysis

Department Stores, Restaurants, Malls, all continue growing their traffic on Black Friday on a year over year basis. The growth rate has decelerated a bit, but it's still in the healthy double-digit numbers, from an already high base.

Only Hotels showed negative growth, but less so than in...

Miles Driven and Trucks Miles Driven: macro indicators

November 13, 2019 By Yiannis Tsiounis Tags: GENERAL, Automotive
Advan Miles Driven

One of the interesting things you can do with access to anonymized, large scale and accurate cellphone location data, is to measure traffic patterns. Consistent with the Big Data theme, we decided to compute this across the whole US, to measure Total Miles Driven.

Total Miles Driven is estimated...

Freedom: priceless

November 8, 2019 By Yiannis Tsiounis Tags: GENERAL, REAL ESTATE
Advan Geofence

It comes in many forms: Speech. Movement. Draw within the lines. Wait, scratch that last one.

We didn’t like that last one either. When it comes to measuring foot traffic, trade areas, migration patterns, demographics, cross traffic, and in general get behavioral metrics from mobile...

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