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Looking for a safe port from the storm, wireless?

tmobile traffic

By Thomas Paulson, Head of Market Insights

Yes, the stock market and economy are in a tempest, and investors have been de-risking their portfolios and cutting exposure to cyclical companies and those that have too much debt; that change in preferences favors consumer staples and utility stocks....

Less the noise, things were broadly getting better in March

April 7, 2025 By Thomas Paulson Tags: Costco, consumer, economy
costco traffic

By Thomas Paulson, Head of Market Insights

Last Friday, we delivered a presentation to Morgan Stanley’s institutional clients. Our conclusion of the work was that consumer spending had picked up in March following a slow start to the year. However, given Wednesday’s news, what happened in March...

Lululemon, a Wall Street battleground stock and in and out of fashion

March 28, 2025 By Thomas Paulson Tags: consumer, athletic, lululemon
traffic

By Thomas Paulson, Head of Market Insights

Lululemon’s quarterly results in the Americas segment (Canada and the United States) were flat on a comparable basis; the segment’s revenue increased +2% (ex-unusuals) reflecting the contribution of more locations. Advan estimates that traffic per...

Sprouts – California and Florida love Sprouts’ foragers

March 27, 2025 By Thomas Paulson Tags: consumer, grocery, cpg
sprouts focus

By Thomas Paulson, Head of Market Insights

We’ve recently analyzed Sprouts Farmers Market’s strong 2024 performance and highlighted its success of driving capturing market share and avoiding the grocery industry’s woes. That success stems from merchandise differentiation (see the figure below)....

RH – Levered to Affluence and the Affluent Are Spending

March 26, 2025 By Thomas Paulson Tags: RH, furniture, consumer
RH traffic

By Thomas Paulson, Head of Market Insights

RH reports quarterly results next week and we expect strong revenue growth of +12% ($829M). RH has seen its revenue improve each quarter this past fiscal year, after declining -16% last year (meaning 2023). Visits are up roughly 10% for the quarter which...

Dollar Tree – Going back to basics as well

By Thomas Paulson, Head of Market Insights

Dollar Tree reported an improvement in its comp-store sales trend due to an improvement in its discretionary business (as did Dollar General, Walmart, and Target). The discretionary comp increased by +0.4%, the first positive number of the year; moreover,...

Tesla – Not Yet Hitting the Brakes with Both Feet

March 24, 2025 By Thomas Paulson Tags: TSLA, Autos
Tesla Berlin traffic

By Thomas Paulson, Head of Market Insights

Reports of brand rejection of Tesla are shocking, “unprecedented” is also a relevant characterization. Germany was its largest market in Europe including a poll of 100,000 with 94,000 saying they wouldn’t buy the brand. This follows an estimated drop in...

Starbucks – Reclaiming the 3rd Place

March 24, 2025 By Thomas Paulson Tags: consumer, QSR, coffee, consumer, starbucks
Starbucks activity

By Thomas Paulson, Head of Market Insights

Lately, we’ve read some commentary that CEO Brian Niccol’s plan to turn Starbucks around has failed to turn the business, because the brand has lost some wallet share. However, Niccol didn’t plan an immediate turn; he has planned for a long-term sustained...

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